financial reality

Separating fact from fiction in finance and economics


Archives:

Meta:

Enter your Email


Preview | Powered by FeedBlitz

About Me:

  • InLibrisLibertas
    Location : Mill Valley, California, United States

    I'm an independent investor. I make my living from the returns on my investments. I work at home, in the northern part of the San Francisco Bay area. I spent most of my career as an executive in high-tech, although I also spent time in banking. Down to one kid in university now!

Enough, Already

September 30th, 2008 by reality

The Dow dropped 777 points yesterday, in part as reaction to the failure of the bailout bill to pass the House. The bullhorning for another attempt to pass it has already begun. Meanwhile, the Dow has recovered 200+ points this morning, as one might expect. 

Today’s problems are the direct result of years of government (read, mostly, Federal Reserve) attempts to manipulate the economy by pumping in more and more credit. Doing it yet again, but in more size, is not the way to fix the problem. At best, it simply defers the problem at the cost of aggravating it. Keynesian stimulus is applied by increasing borrowing, but never yields enough growth to repay the debt. As a result, the debt builds up over time, as more credit has to be injected just to cover the cost of servicing existing debt. In 2007, it took over $6 in new debt to yield $1 in increased GDP. Eventually the point is reached where servicing costs overwhelm borrowers and the whole structure crumbles.

Posted in Government, Rogues and Rascals, Stocks, The Economy |

Leave a Comment

Please note: Comment moderation is enabled and may delay your comment. There is no need to resubmit your comment.