financial reality

Separating fact from fiction in finance and economics


Archives:

Meta:

Enter your Email


Preview | Powered by FeedBlitz

About Me:

  • InLibrisLibertas
    Location : Mill Valley, California, United States

    I'm an independent investor. I make my living from the returns on my investments. I work at home, in the northern part of the San Francisco Bay area. I spent most of my career as an executive in high-tech, although I also spent time in banking. Down to one kid in university now!

Overloved

September 2nd, 2008 by reality

Panic buying this morning, as the price of oil collapsed over the weekend in the absence of any obvious damage from Hurricane Gustav. However, as Bloomberg points out, valuations are, to say the least, extended.

Wall Street forecasters, who were too optimistic about earnings for the past four quarters, predict income at America’s biggest companies will grow by a record 62 percent in the final three months of 2008, according to data compiled by S&P.

Oil (and commodity) prices are collapsing because the runup, or at least the terminal stage of the runup, was a bubble. As was pointed out here and as can clearly be seen from the “pop.” Stock prices, I expect, are the second last bubble. T-Bond (bill, note) prices will be the last.

Posted in Commodities, Energy, Fixed Income, Stocks |

Leave a Comment

Please note: Comment moderation is enabled and may delay your comment. There is no need to resubmit your comment.