Grantham Interview
reality
It is rare when I read something with which I agree 100%. Here is such a case, this succint interview with Jeremy Grantham (in the Globe & Mail).
You draw comparisons between what’s happening today and the start of the Great Depression.
We’re in that 1929-30 window, where we’ve had a shock to the system. But the secondary effects - less consumption, lower profit margins, lower GDP, lower employment, lower global trade - are beginning to work through the system. They’re steadfastly ignored because they’re still quite slight. It takes a year, 18 months [or] even longer for some of these effects to show up.
As the article notes, Jeremy, like me, got out of the NASDAQ bubble way too early. However, it is encouraging to note that his analysis and mine come up with the same answers.
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