financial reality

Separating fact from fiction in finance and economics


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  • InLibrisLibertas
    Location : Mill Valley, California, United States

    I'm an independent investor. I make my living from the returns on my investments. I work at home, in the northern part of the San Francisco Bay area, or on my boat which I keep in the British Virgin Islands. I spent most of my career as an executive in high-tech, although I also spent time in banking. Down to one kid in university now!

Patience

September 30th, 2007 by reality

Divergences between the real world and the quant-driven stock market are increasing. When will the rubber band snap?

Measure September YTD
Absolute Performance (6.37)% (7.13)%
Relative Performance (10.72)% (20.98)%

Relative performance is based on Fidelity Magellan, FMAGX.

9/30 portfolio.

Asset class % Allocated Comment
Energy 0  
Absolute Return Funds 0  
Market Timing - Bear 10.15 Inverse funds and put options equiv. to 200% short (basis total equity). Overall, counting the sector-specific shorts, I’m about 300% short.
Market Timing - Bull 0  
Metals & Mining 0  
Real Estate 10.20 Put options on homebuilders XHB, and the banking indices, BKX,MFX, RKH and XBD
Tech 1.53 Put options SMH, XLK.
Fixed Income 64.76 Mostly T-bills, 2-year bonds, and a small long bond position. Also some WHOSX (Treasury-only fund)
Cash 13.36

Posted in * Portfolio changes, Asset Classes, Strategy & Scenarios |

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