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  • InLibrisLibertas
    Location : Mill Valley, California, United States

    I'm an independent investor. I make my living from the returns on my investments. I work at home, in the northern part of the San Francisco Bay area. I spent most of my career as an executive in high-tech, although I also spent time in banking. Down to one kid in university now!

Strong Stuff

September 4th, 2007 by reality

John Hussman’s weekly letter: “I expect that in the next year or two, we will observe at least one quarter, and more likely a full year, in which the entire profit of the U.S. banking sector is consumed by loan losses.”

Oh, and by the way, if your mortgage is priced off LIBOR, watch out. It is up to 5.698% this morning, according to Reuters (I don’t have a direct quote feed for it). WIth the Treasury bill discount at 4.110, looks like the TED spread has blown out again to 158 bps.

Also a blast from the past, Bill Gross’ Plankton Theory, is worth a visit. “It may be a while before the Fed accepts and recognizes this, waiting for these Minsky style debt-deflation dynamics to become evident in broader measures of the economy’s health, notably job creation. But make no mistake: A Minsky Meltdown in the most important asset in most Americans’ asset portfolio is not a minor matter. Bill Gross’ Plankton Theory ain’t just a theory, but a reality.”

Note: LIBOR corrected - the BBC gave the sterling LIBOR, not the dollar. Sorry. But the TED spread is still wide compared to a normal 20-60 bps.

Posted in Bill Gross, Fixed Income, John Hussman, Stocks |

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