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  • InLibrisLibertas
    Location : Mill Valley, California, United States

    I'm an independent investor. I make my living from the returns on my investments. I work at home, in the northern part of the San Francisco Bay area. I spent most of my career as an executive in high-tech, although I also spent time in banking. Down to one kid in university now!

Got Mall?

June 27th, 2007 by reality

mags_diary21_retail_graph_2.jpgThis amazing comparison is from Jim Kunstler’s article, “Peak Suburbia“. It is a comparison of the installed base of retail space per head of population.

It shows suburban sprawl and retail overcapacity that is clearly way out of hand. Nearly ten times the retail square feet per head compared to even the UK, world-renowned as “a nation of shopkeepers” (admittedly so labelled in a very different context). Certainly the US is more “spacious” than the European countries and real estate overall is accordingly less pricey, but bricks and mortar are still expensive and energy-intensive.

As Jim says: “I get lots of letters from people in various corners of the nation who are hysterically disturbed by the continuing spectacle of suburban development. But instead of joining in their hand-wringing, I reply by stating my serene conviction that we are at the end of the cycle — and by that I mean the grand meta-cycle of the suburban project as a whole. It’s over. Whatever you see out there now is pretty much what we’re going to be stuck with. The remaining things under construction are the last twitchings of a dying organism.”

I have RTH and XLY puts. Probably should be shorting REITs, too.

Posted in Income & Consumption, Real Estate, Stocks |

One Response

  1. moom Says:

    I often see malls in what seems like the middle of nowhere and wonder how they survive. Even so, these numbers are pretty amazing. Figures for Australia and Canada would be interesting. I’m short IYR.

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