financial reality

Separating fact from fiction in finance and economics


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  • InLibrisLibertas
    Location : Mill Valley, California, United States

    I'm an independent investor. I make my living from the returns on my investments. I work at home, in the northern part of the San Francisco Bay area. I spent most of my career as an executive in high-tech, although I also spent time in banking. Down to one kid in university now!

All News Is Good News

October 24th, 2006 by reality

Tomorrow is yet another Fed day. For the bulls, there is no downside: “The market works in every scenario — if rates go down, the market says ’soft landing’, and if rates go up, the market says ‘economy is strong, so profits and earnings are great.” - Barry Hyman

The truth is, well alright the bearish view is: if rates go up, inflation is the problem and the Fed will have to raise more and more to subdue it. If rates go down, recession is the problem and there is no soft landing in sight.

While the Fed is the market’s focus, the most interesting event this week will be the preliminary Q3 GDP report on Friday. To what extent will it show slowing growth?

Posted in The Economy, The Fed |

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