financial reality

Separating fact from fiction in finance and economics


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  • InLibrisLibertas
    Location : Mill Valley, California, United States

    I'm an independent investor. I make my living from the returns on my investments. I work at home, in the northern part of the San Francisco Bay area. I spent most of my career as an executive in high-tech, although I also spent time in banking. Down to one kid in university now!

Falling Real Earnings

September 15th, 2006 by reality

From today’s BLS release: “Real average weekly earnings fell by 0.5 percent from July to August after seasonal adjustment “. The core CPI was up 2.8% y-o-y, the most in 5 years. That should be worrisome. But of course the market is being jammed anyway. .

Oh and by the way Daimler-Chrysler reduced its forecast (now planning to lose a mere €5 billion) - “difficult US market and high costs” - and Ford announced massive job cuts - one third of salaried workers and a buyout offer to all UAW members. Industrial output fell 0.1%. And did I mention that foreclosures were up 24% between August and July? One month? (And over 50% y-o-y). I guess everything is hunky-dory.

Commodities prices - metals, energies, etc. - are falling fast, down over 13% (CRB index) since the beginning of August. The bulish view is this is good for inflation - the bearish view is this is another indicator of economic slowdown.

Posted in Employment, Income & Consumption, Inflation & The Dollar, Real Estate |

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