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  • InLibrisLibertas
    Location : Mill Valley, California, United States

    I'm an independent investor. I make my living from the returns on my investments. I work at home, in the northern part of the San Francisco Bay area. I spent most of my career as an executive in high-tech, although I also spent time in banking. Down to one kid in university now!

Tiptoeing for the exits

March 26th, 2006 by InLibrisLibertas

The following from Jon Lansner’s blog at the Orange County Register, giving a bubble update:

“Mid-March: Prices +9.6%; volume -21.6%

Forget the first two months of the year. They’re wacky. It’s now prime shopping season. And the first peek — fresh stats from DataQuick — shows if the current trends hold, March will be be the fifth straight month of year-over-year sales declines and the worst one-year drop since October 2004. For 22 business days ended March 15:

Median price Change from ‘05 Volume Change from ‘05

*-Homes, condos and apartment conversions”

This clearly shows how the builders - “New residences” line - are the first to adjust prices in the downturn. As professionals, they are saying “Feet, don’t fail me now” while the amateurs are clinging to their high prices - and not selling. See Real Estate Prices for the original discussion of this tendency.

Posted in Real Estate |

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