financial reality

Separating fact from fiction in finance and economics


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  • InLibrisLibertas
    Location : Mill Valley, California, United States

    I'm an independent investor. I make my living from the returns on my investments. I work at home, in the northern part of the San Francisco Bay area. I spent most of my career as an executive in high-tech, although I also spent time in banking. Down to one kid in university now!

Mr. Potato Head is fired

December 21st, 2004 by InLibrisLibertas

The board of Fannie Mae announced today that Franklin Raines was being fired from his position of CEO. The announcement did not disclose how many more millions of dollars Mr. Raines was going to take from the taxpayer-supported agency.

Posted in Real Estate, Rogues and Rascals | No Comments »

You were there

December 16th, 2004 by InLibrisLibertas

During the South Seas Bubble of 1720, numerous “bubble companies” with highly questionable business propositions were floated and excited great speculation. Perhaps the most questionable was one that described its business as “A company for carrying on an undertaking of great advantage, but nobody to know what it is”. Needless to say, in due course the company disappeared along with its founder.

Today, Sports Entertainment Enterprises, Inc. (SPEA) was pumped. From 10¢ to $6.41. SPEA: Last trade: 6.41 Change: +6.31 as of 3:59 PM ET. The apparent trigger was that Elvis Presley Enterprises, through a holding company, bought 94% of the outstanding stock for 10¢ a share.

REUTERS ABRIDGED BUSINESS SUMMARY
“Sports Entertainment Enterprises, Inc. (SPEA) has disposed of all of its operating businesses during the year ended December 31, 2002. The Company will continue to incur costs that are necessary for it to remain an active public company. These ongoing costs are expected to be funded by a related party and will accrue interest at 10% per annum until repaid. Its primary objective is to seek out and pursue a transaction with a business enterprise that might have a desire to take advantage of its status as a public corporation. There is no assurance that the Company will acquire a favorable business opportunity through such a transaction. The Company is marketing itself to investment bankers and others who may be able to facilitate a public shell merger transaction. Several private companies with the desire to become public have been presented to SPEA, none of which were deemed acceptable opportunities for the Company’s shareholders.”

In short, there was no business nor any assets, just a shell company. Just like in the above quote from Mackay’s “Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds.”

Now you know, beyond a shadow of a doubt, that you are watching another of history’s spectacular bubbles. Along with the South Sea bubble, the Mississippi Company bubble and the tulip bubble. Now all we need is a name. Enjoy the show.

Posted in Manias | 2 Comments »

Consumer Confidence?

December 9th, 2004 by InLibrisLibertas

Data is from the Conference Board and is up-to-date through November. Thanks to contraryinvestor.com for the pretty charts.



Posted in Income & Consumption | No Comments »

The China Price

December 7th, 2004 by InLibrisLibertas

They are the three scariest words in U.S. industry. Cut your price at least 30% or lose your customers. Nearly every manufacturer is vulnerable — from furniture to networking gear. The result: A massive shift in economic power is under way.

Business Week

Posted in Employment, Income & Consumption, International | No Comments »

Demographics

December 7th, 2004 by InLibrisLibertas

I thought this data provided an interesting view of the different challenges facing various countries.

DecrepitHigh Life expectancy (76.9), low birth (1.5) Most of Europe, Japan, China BalancedHigh life expectancy (73.4), moderate birthrate (2.1) United States

Posted in International, Retirement, Strategy & Scenarios | No Comments »

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